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What the polls say about the 2024 election. 538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times’s Ruth Igielnik discuss the latest polling data showing an extremely close presidential race. A total of 538 electoral college votes are up for grabs, so a candidate needs to hit 270 to win. There are 50 states in the US but because most of them nearly always vote for the same party, in... We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since... Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. September 18, 2024. The winner will complete the term of the late Democratic Rep. Donald Payne Jr. An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election. Donald Trump. Republican Party. 46.8 47.7 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last weeks. Early voting has begun in most states, including key battlegrounds like Arizona and Georgia. Who is favored to win the 2024 presidential election? Updated 2 days ago. Trump and Harris have about an even chance to win. See the presidential forecast. Former President Donald Trump ended his presidency more unpopular than any of the last 12 presidents at the end of their first terms and he is still unpopular post-presidency according to... Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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