Trump election prediction Presidential debate answers

This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. Harris carries the Rust Belt. Harris wins Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, matching Biden’s 2020 outcome in those states. Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it... Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election on November 5. This tracker uses the latest... But the American election is not decided by the popular vote. Our prediction model runs the numbers to assess whether this lead will be enough to put Ms Harris in the White House. Voter history and recent polling suggest that Mr. Trump’s safest battleground state is North Carolina, which Republicans have won in all but one presidential election since 1976. Ms. Harris and ... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and... As the presidential race enters its final stretch, Donald Trump remains a slight favorite to win the 2024 election, though the outcome is effectively a toss-up. Neither candidate is clearly favored in enough states to secure the 270 electoral votes needed, with Trump currently at 235 and Harris at 226. The former Republican President holds a ... The big question now is - will America get its first woman president or a second Donald Trump term? As election day approaches, we'll be keeping track of the polls and seeing what effect the ...

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