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State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology. Republican Party. 46.8 47.7 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last weeks. Early voting has begun in most states, including key battlegrounds like Arizona and Georgia. The two major ... Trump wins the national popular vote: 32 out of 100: Harris wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points: 4 out of 100: Trump wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points: 1 out of 100: Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College: 21 out of 100: Trump wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College ... Line chart showing voting intention in national polls between Harris and Trump since the Trump-Biden debate on June 27. Kamala Harris 48.8 Donald Trump 47.4. Source: FT research, FiveThirtyEight • Latest poll Oct 29. In US Presidential elections, national polls are merely indicators, because the overall winner is decided using the electoral ... On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his campaign. Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has a marginal lead over Republican former President Donald Trump among U.S. registered voters nationally, Reuters/Ipsos polls show, and the race remains ... Vice President Kamala Harris opened up a marginal two-percentage-point lead over Republican Donald Trump after President Joe Biden ended his re-election campaign and passed the torch to her, a ... The polls could underestimate Harris’s or Trump’s support A polling average is the best way to understand the state of play in a presidential race, but as we know from previous presidential ... Stay updated on how Vice President Kamala Harris and President Donald Trump are doing in the 2024 Presidential election polls. Sponsored content Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

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