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68 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote. 32 out of 100. Harris wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 3 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 1 out of 100. Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College. 21 out of 100. On the eve of the 2024 presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris has the support of 51 percent of likely voters to former President Donald Trump’s 47 percent – a lead just outside ... Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris. The New York Times/Siena College Poll Oct. 24 to Nov. 2 If the 2024 ... State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his campaign. Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign ... What’s changed: We’re a week out from Election Day and our average still shows an incredibly tight race. Vice President Kamala Harris has held her leads nationally and in Michigan, but her ... The latest news, analysis and updates on 2024 election polling. Why the Polls Might Be Wrong — in Kamala Harris’ Favor It’s taken pollsters eight years to pin down Trump’s voters.

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