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US presidential elections may reflect the cycle of global risk aversion, which in turn affects local stock markets. These economies and financial markets are also highly integrated with the US in ... 1. Historically, US markets have generally risen in election years. Since 1950, US stocks have averaged returns of 9.1% in election years, according to research by Fidelity’s Denise Chisholm, director of quantitative market strategy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Generally, they found that the stock market’s performance is more muted in the 12 months leading up to the election. That effect is true for both the equities market and bond markets:... To provide answers, we’ve analyzed more than 90 years of market and election data and identified five ways that elections influence stock returns and investor behavior. 1. Markets have trended higher regardless of which party wins the election How have election outcomes affected market performance in the past and how might potential scenarios play out in the 2024 presidential election? A historical look at presidential... Elections may influence stock market performance. However, the specific political party in control of the executive and legislative branches might not matter significantly. Narratives highlighting correlations between the results of U.S. presidential elections and stock market performance often circulate in the runup to voting day. Our quantitative analysis of historical data suggests that relationships do exist. Narratives highlighting correlations between the results of U.S. presidential elections and stock market performance often circulate in the runup to voting day. Our quantitative analysis of historical data suggests that relationships do exist. The Best and Worst Presidents (According to the Stock Market) Could the Election Impact Interest Rates? Can a President Fix Inflation? Here's What Trump or Harris Could Do

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