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To illustrate, Sporting Index, the spread betting company, announced it thought Joe Biden would win with between 305 and 311 electoral votes as the polls opened on election day, with Trump... Forecasting the US elections. The Economist is analysing polling, economic and demographic data to predict America’s elections in 2020. Our final pre-election forecast is that Joe Biden is very... The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%) Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+). Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast. On November 3, the day of the 2020 presidential election, the Democratic party nominee Joe Biden was polling narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican president Donald Trump in key... At the end of a loooooong campaign, here’s where we stand: Joe Biden is favored to beat President Trump (though Trump still has a 1-in-10 chance); Democrats have a 3-in-4 shot at taking back... Joe Biden won the 2020 Presidential Election over Donald Trump. See how the odds for both candidates and those who fell by the wayside changed in the weeks, months, and years leading up to Election Day. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ... Trump : Biden +5: Oct. 28-Nov ... An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls,... On Monday, Biden traded between 63-65 cents, while Trump upped slightly from 41 to 42 cents. That means the market is setting a 63-65% probability he will win — much lower than the 538 forecast.

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