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Line chart showing voting intention in national polls between Harris and Trump since the Trump-Biden debate on June 27. Kamala Harris 48.8 Donald Trump 47.4. Source: FT research, FiveThirtyEight • Latest poll Oct 29. In US Presidential elections, national polls are merely indicators, because the overall winner is decided using the electoral ... On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his campaign. Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 7 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 2 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 38 out of 100. Trump wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 50 out of 100. Harris wins the national popular vote. Stay updated on how Vice President Kamala Harris and President Donald Trump are doing in the 2024 Presidential election polls. Sponsored content Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results. State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology. The polls could underestimate Harris’s or Trump’s support. A polling average is the best way to understand the state of play in a presidential race, but as we know from previous presidential ... Who is leading national polls? Harris has had a small lead over Trump in the national polling averages since she entered the race at the end of July and she remains ahead - as shown in the chart ... As well as an average of the polls, you can also see historic polling data for Mr Biden and Mr Trump, more recent polling since Ms Harris entered the contest, and key dates in the race and ...

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