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Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the candidate names. For legacy polling, visit the Biden vs. Trump page. March 12, 2024, 7:51 p.m. ET. Chris Cameron. In a statement after securing enough delegates to clinch the 2024 Democratic nomination, President Biden vowed that he would defeat Donald Trump again ... Election is decided by a recount (winner's margin is <0.5% in a decisive state) 9 out of 100: Election is decided by a smaller margin than the vote share for third-party candidates <1 out of 100: Harris wins at least one state Biden didn't win in 2020: 40 out of 100: Trump wins at least one state he didn't win in 2020: 84 out of 100 After the 2020 election, Trump refused to concede and rallied supporters to march on the US Capitol as Congress was meeting to certify Biden's victory. Getty Images Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his ... Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... Live 2024 Presidential election results, maps and electoral votes by state. POLITICO’s real-time coverage of 2024 races for President, Senate, House and Governor. Presidential election polls 2024:Latest surveys on Harris vs. Trump before Election Day When will election results be announced? Do not expect final results on Election Night. Election 2024: Harris vs. Trump. CNN Poll of Polls. Harris. 48%. Trump. 47%. Date Range: 10/18-10/25. *The CNN Poll of Polls aggregates and averages a number of recent polls. If the margin between ...

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