On the eve of the 2024 presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris has the support of 51 percent of likely voters to former President Donald Trump’s 47 percent – a lead just outside ... Line chart showing voting intention in national polls between Harris and Trump since the Trump-Biden debate on June 27. Kamala Harris 48.8 Donald Trump 47.4. Source: FT research, FiveThirtyEight • Latest poll Oct 29. In US Presidential elections, national polls are merely indicators, because the overall winner is decided using the electoral ... When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email. With just over six weeks until Election Day, the poll finds Harris with a 5-point lead over former President Donald Trump among registered voters, 49% to 44%. While that result is within the ... Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. However, it bases its estimate of the race between Mr Trump and Kamala Harris solely on polls conducted after that date. The discontinuity visible on July 21st reflects the change in the ... Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has a marginal lead over Republican former President Donald Trump among U.S. registered voters nationally, Reuters/Ipsos polls show, and the race remains ... A national Times/Siena poll found Kamala Harris with a slim lead over Donald J. Trump. Voters were more likely to see her, not Mr. Trump, as a break from the status quo. The New York Times/Siena ... Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ...
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