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Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... Vice President Kamala Harris' betting odds jumped overnight after a new poll showed she held a surprise lead over former President Donald Trump in Iowa — a state he won easily in both 2016 and 2020. Donald Trump. -175. 63.6%. Kamala Harris. +150. 40%. Let's take a closer look at Kamala Harris' presidential election odds and examine the key obstacles that may stand in her path. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+). Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. Current. 2020 Electoral Votes. Change From 2020 to 2024. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 2 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 38 out of 100. Trump wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 50 out of 100. Harris wins the national popular vote. 67 out of 100. 2024 Presidential election odds: Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump. In late July, former President Donald Trump was a massive -200 favorite (Bet $200 to win $100) on bet365 to be elected President of ... On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his campaign. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. Sort by date. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president

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