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68 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote. 32 out of 100. Harris wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 3 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 1 out of 100. Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College. 21 out of 100. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his campaign. Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... Republican Party. 46.8 47.7 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last weeks. Early voting has begun in most states, including key battlegrounds like Arizona and Georgia. The two major ... The race for the White House remains incredibly close between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris with less than 24 hours until polls open across the United States. A final batch of ... The presidential election is 2 days away. Here’s our guide to the run-up to Election Day. Tracking the Polls. The state of the race, according to the latest polling data. Swing State Ratings ... The polls could underestimate Harris’s or Trump’s support A polling average is the best way to understand the state of play in a presidential race, but as we know from previous presidential ... State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ...

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