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State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology. Topline. The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively tied, with the final pre-election New York Times survey showing Harris ahead in ... With 13 days until Election Day, Harris leads Trump 49%-46% among likely voters in Michigan, the Quinnipiac poll taken Oct. 17 to 21 found. Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent Cornel ... The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively tied, with the latest set of polls showing Harris leading the three so-called “blue ... Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election on November 5. This tracker uses the latest national and state-level polls to estimate the range of likely outcomes in each state. In 2016 and 2020, he outperformed the polls in the swing states, and he could do it again. Here’s one possibility. Harris 226. Trump 312. 10. Wis. 15. ... The latest Harris vs. Trump polls. When looking strictly at the polls, Trump now has the edge in two states and the other five most closely watched states are toss-ups. At the end of August, Vice President Harris had leads large ... Still, Trump leads Harris by 0.3 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average. Michigan: Harris’ 49.6%-46.5% edge marks the largest lead of any state polled by Bloomberg, but it’s still ... The presidential election is 2 days away. Here’s our guide to the run-up to Election Day. Tracking the Polls. The state of the race, according to the latest polling data. Swing State Ratings ...

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