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UPDATED Nov. 3, 2024, at 8:36 AM. Who Is Favored To Win Pennsylvania's 19 Electoral Votes? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 53... 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 46% McCormick McCormick. 49% Casey Casey. About this data. Note: Individual poll results are shown as circles for each candidate. Polls with greater weight in the average have ... Biden vs. Trump Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Trump is up by 20 points among men in Pennsylvania, 57% to 37%, while Harris has an 18% hold on women over Trump, 57% to 39%. That’s compared to Trump’s 16-point advantage among men nationally ... Marist Poll Pennsylvania Likely Voters. Interviews conducted October 27th through October 30th, 2024, n=1,400 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. Harris receives the support of 50% of Pennsylvania likely voters to 48% for Trump. In September, Harris (49%) and Trump (49%) tied. Stay updated on how Vice President Kamala Harris and President Donald Trump are doing in the Pennsylvania 2024 Presidential election polls. Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are... This chart shows how the polling margin in Pennsylvania has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.

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