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Election 2024. Follow live updates on the 2024 election, Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump from our reporters on the campaign trail and in Washington.. Presidential ... Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. Sort by date. But the polls going into Election Day don't even provide the merest hunch of whether former President Trump or Vice President Harris will win. Breaking it down: Nate Silver's " Silver Bulletin " has a virtual coinflip: Trump with a 50.4% chance of winning the Electoral College, Harris with a 49.2% chance, and a 0.4% chance of a 269-269 result ... The presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is nearly over. With one day until the 2024 general election, here's what the polls, odds and a historian have said over the past 10 ... The vibes about who will win the 2024 presidential election may have shifted — but with barely more ... Polling averages show a contest in which Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are almost tied in ... Republican Party. 46.8 47.7 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last weeks. Early voting has begun in most states, including key battlegrounds like Arizona and Georgia. The two major ... Daily update. Even though Donald Trump came within three percentage points of winning Maine in 2016, the presidential candidates have mostly ignored America’s easternmost state this year. A poll ... Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his ... Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ...

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