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Biden vs. Trump Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024. More:Harris, Trump deadlocked in battleground Michigan, new exclusive poll shows. Biden won Pennsylvania by a razor-thin margin of one percentage point in 2020. He flipped both Erie and ... Stay updated on Pennsylvania's 2024 election polls with The Hill and Decision Desk HQ's comprehensive poll tracker, including the latest approval ratings and popularity of candidates. Marist Poll Pennsylvania Likely Voters. Interviews conducted October 27th through October 30th, 2024, n=1,400 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. Harris receives the support of 50% of Pennsylvania likely voters to 48% for Trump. In September, Harris (49%) and Trump (49%) tied. This chart shows how the polling margin in Pennsylvania has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. See how President Joe Biden and Donald Trump compare in the polls leading up to the 2024 presidential election. UPDATED Nov. 3, 2024, at 8:36 AM. Who Is Favored To Win Pennsylvania's 19 Electoral Votes? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 53... Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.

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