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The idea of 'real money' on a candidate is a better measure of 'intention' to go to the polls. Biden's campaign started later than Trump's, and perhaps the impact of that is just now being realized. View from my desk: Biden's machine is more well-organized and well-funded. Current Betting odds on the US Election: https://www.oddschecker.com/us/politics/us-politics As you can see, as of this post Donald Trump is the overwhelming favorite to win at +120 odds against the field, with Joe Biden trailing behind considerably at +200. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president. Donald Trump (-125) remains the betting favorite over Kamala Harris (+110) at major sportsbooks as the 2024 presidential race enters its final stretch. To be nice to him, let’s say that one is 60/40 for trump. So that’s 1 state that he is 60/40 likely win (Wisconsin), 1 where he’s a 60/40 on the losing end (Arizona), and 4 where I consider his chance of victory to be very poor. I’ll assign them 25% chances of winning each. On Friday, Marist College released their highly-anticipated final polls across the Midwestern states, finding Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points in... Online betting market Polymarket has Donald Trump’s odds of winning the 2024 election at more than 60 percent. Yet the polls show a dead heat between the Republican and Kamala Harris. Former President Donald Trump holds a lead at the betting window with a week to go until Election Day for the first time in his campaign history.. Trump is ahead against Vice President Kamala ... Offshore bettors continue to drive up the probability that former President Donald Trump will win the 2024 presidential election because they predict he has a better chance of winning...

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