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On the Trail. See where Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are campaigning. Key Issues. Here is where the candidates stand on pressing topics. Electoral College Paths. See how each candidate could... State. Pennsylvania Senate Forecast lean dem. Last Updated: Wednesday, October 30, 5:13 PM EDT. Our model currently predicts that Bob Casey has a 71% chance of winning Pennsylvania. Incumbent... Casey vs. McCormick. Show: 20. * Incumbent. †The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. See how Dave McCormick and Bob Casey compare in the polls leading up to the 2024 Pennsylvania senate election. Incumbent U.S. Sen. Bob Casey Jr. (D), David McCormick (R), and five other candidates are running for the U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania on Nov. 5, 2024. Marist Poll Pennsylvania Likely Voters. Interviews conducted October 27th through October 30th, 2024, n=1,400 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. Harris receives the support of 50% of Pennsylvania likely voters to 48% for Trump. In September, Harris (49%) and Trump (49%) tied. Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate ? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our average includes all candidates that... Stay updated on Pennsylvania's 2024 election polls with The Hill and Decision Desk HQ's comprehensive poll tracker, including the latest approval ratings and popularity of candidates. Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate ? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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