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Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. This map tracks a Harris-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. No polling is available yet in some less competitive states. In those cases, the Consensus Forecast rating is used. The map automatically updates three times daily. 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. RacetotheWH is tracking the latest polling for the 2024 Presidential Election, and now includes polling for both Kamala Harris against Donald Trump. It also features a polling-driven Electoral College Map, which shows the current leader based on the polling average in each state. 1. Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. CNN’s Road to 270 Interactive. It takes at least 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Plot each candidate’s best path to victory on our interactive map below. On Friday, Marist College released their highly-anticipated final polls across the Midwestern states, finding Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points in... 538 ranks current polls by accuracy and gives more weight to polls deemed more reliable and adds its own proprietary analysis that introduces geographic and demographic to suggest particular outcomes, state-by-state.

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