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The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to raise funds... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. The big question now is - will America get its first woman president or a second Donald Trump term? As election day approaches, we'll be keeping track of the polls and seeing what effect the... Trump could win if the polls are underestimating him even slightly. In 2016 and 2020, he outperformed the polls in the swing states, and he could do it again. Here’s one possibility. Mr Trump has even better odds when he wins Michigan (95%) or Wisconsin (89%), but he has more alternative routes to the presidency without Michigan than without Pennsylvania. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and... Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president. A little over a month ago, we looked at the most likely paths that Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump have to win the presidency with the help of The Washington Post ... Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election on November 5. This tracker uses the latest...

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