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Live results in the 2024 presidential race, with interactive maps and electoral vote counts by state — plus coverage of races for governor, US Senate and US House. Primary Election Results. In the 2024 primary elections held on March 23, 2024, Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 89.8% of the votes, while Joe Biden won the Democratic primary with 86.1% of the votes. Current Polling Data This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1. The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast 2 and the methodology is largely the same, other than removing COVID-19 provisions introduced for 2020. In the seven states that are closest in the race — Arizona, Georgia (come on, say it along with me!), Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — Harris has leads in four and... Who will win the 2024 presidential election? Here are the current odds, and which states each candidate is expected to go to. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 2 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 38 out of 100. Trump wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 50 out of 100. Harris wins the national popular vote. 67 out of 100. Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election on November 5. This tracker uses the latest national... An interactive electoral map based on The JHK Forecasts statistical model for projecting the 2024 presidential election. Bottom Line: As of the end of July 2024, assuming a Biden Gallup approval score of 40 percent and a continued rate of jobs growth between 1 and 2 percent, the model predicts a very narrow Democratic 2024 victory in the Electoral College (275 votes) and in the two-party vote share (50.1 percent).

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