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68 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote. 32 out of 100. Harris wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 3 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 1 out of 100. Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College. 21 out of 100. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email. Final pre-election polls released Sunday show Trump and Harris deadlocked as the race goes down to the wire, but there are indications that some late deciders may be breaking for the Democratic ... Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... Taken together, the poll shows Harris getting support from 49% of registered voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Trump gets an identical 49%. Just 2% of voters say they’re unsure about the ... The developments were the latest blows to Mr Trump’s unprecedented and long-shot effort to retain power by tossing out or disregarding millions of votes that carried Mr Biden to victory by a ... When looking strictly at the polls, Trump now has the edge in two states and the other five most closely watched states are toss-ups. At the end of August, Vice President Harris had leads large ... The race appears far tighter this time, with Kamala Harris just 2 points ahead of Trump in our current national polling average and with the results in all seven battleground states within 2 points. After the Trump-Biden debate, Murray said Trump showed signs of pulling ahead in both national and battleground polls. Harris’ entry “reset the campaign back to pretty much even,” he said.

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