Who is leading national polls? Harris has had a small lead over Trump in the national polling averages since she entered the race at the end of July and she remains ahead - as shown in the chart ... Republican Party. 46.8 47.7 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last weeks. Early voting has begun in most states, including key battlegrounds like Arizona and Georgia. The two major ... Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... The race appears far tighter this time, with Kamala Harris just 2 points ahead of Trump in our current national polling average and with the results in all seven battleground states within 2 ... Former President Trump overtook Vice President Harris in the Decision Desk HQ/The Hill election forecast Sunday, the first time he has been deemed the favorite over her this cycle. The model ... AtlasIntel. 49.4%. Trump. 47.9%. Harris. +2 Trump. + More Polls. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic ... Trump and Harris are tied, according to the Decision Desk HQ/The Hill’s aggregate polling. Both candidates are polling at 48.3 percent as of Sunday night. Both candidates are polling at 48.3 ... If Harris loses, it will likely be because voters agree. On the other side of the ledger, if Trump loses, it will be for a similarly simple reason. It will not be because the Harris campaign (and ... 58.0%. Harris. 39.0%. Trump. +19 Harris. + More Polls. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot ...
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