Topline. Vice President Kamala Harris has a single-digit lead over former President Donald Trump in the seven most recent national polls—as surveys show a virtual dead-heat contest for the... Vice President Kamala Harris is favored to win four critical swing states against former President Donald Trump, according to Nate Silver's presidential model. Prognosticator Nate Silver on Tuesday shared dat a that showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in the national polls average by almost three full percentage... An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls,... On Friday, Marist College released their highly-anticipated final polls across the Midwestern states, finding Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points... Nate Silver on How Kamala Harris Changed the Odds The election forecaster discusses 2024 and what politicians can learn from gamblers. “Nate Silver came to fame in American politics for... Nate Silver Donald Trump Kamala Harris US election 2024 Polls Join our commenting forum Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies Do Americans approve or disapprove of Kamala Harris? In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here. Selzer's poll shifted Silver's polling aggregator model to Harris 45.4, and Trump 48.8 (giving Trump a winning margin pf 3.4 points). Before the poll, Silver's model had given Harris a 9 percent ...
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