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North Carolina 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: No Clear Leader In 4 New Polls. 1 hour ago. Georgia 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Has Rare Lead In Latest Poll—As GOP Aims To Reclaim State. Trump. 46.2%. Harris. +3 Trump. + More Polls. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling ... 2024 North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris North Carolina: Multi-Candidate Polls | Trump vs. Biden Polls | Governor Polls N. Carolina: Multi-Candidate Polls | Governor Polls Popular voteWin probability. We forecast the popular vote only for candidates polling at 5 percent or higher nationally, polling at 10 percent or higher in at least one state or who are on the ballot in almost every state. Since Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s withdrawal, only Harris and Trump meet these criteria, so we are effectively forecasting ... Neither Kamala Harris nor Donald Trump has established a clear advantage in the presidential race in Georgia and North Carolina, a new CNN/SSRS poll finds. Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... Nov. 3. 48% Harris Harris. 48% Trump Trump. About this data. Note: Individual poll results are shown as circles for each candidate. Polls with greater weight in the average have larger circles ... Sept. 1, 2024 Oct. 1 Nov. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Trump 48.5% Harris 47.0% Nov. 2, 2024 leader Nov. 2, 2024 leader Trump Trump +1.6. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to ... In Nebraska’s 2nd District, the so-called blue dot encompassing Omaha, Harris has 53% to Trump’s 42%, the poll finds. North Carolina, which narrowly supported Barack Obama in 2008 and has gone ...

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