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What is the electoral college? Who is winning in swing state polls? Right now the polls are very tight in the seven states considered battlegrounds in this election and neither candidate has... Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Tracking the polls in every state and possible paths to electoral college victory for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. Some new state polls suggest that may be true. The New York Times reports its final state polls found that “among the 8 percent of voters who said they had only recently decided on their vote ... We track polls from across the country and synthesise them to measure the state of the race. Since she took over the Democratic nomination from Joe Biden, Ms Harris’s standing has risen steadily. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president. Trump could win if the polls are underestimating him even slightly. In 2016 and 2020, he outperformed the polls in the swing states, and he could do it again. Here’s one possibility.

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