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Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... This isn’t a popularity contest™. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed ... 68 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote. 32 out of 100. Harris wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 3 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 1 out of 100. Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College. 21 out of 100. What the final polls show about the 2024 presidential election. ... If you were hoping the final polls before Election Day would give a clearer picture of the presidential contest, you were hoping ... On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his campaign. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. Sort by date. The possible election of the first female president, a broad backlash against Trump, the fall of Roe v. Wade and more have played big parts in stretching the gap in Harris' favor among women. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are blitzing battleground states the day before polls open for Election Day 2024. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ...

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