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That poll finds Harris up three percentage points. With that poll included, our Iowa average has Trump ahead by two percentage points, which puts it in line with the core battleground states. The possible election of the first female president, a broad backlash against Trump, the fall of Roe v. Wade and more have played big parts in stretching the gap in Harris' favor among women. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency An in-depth look at the polls and what they can and can’t tell us about who will win the election. Who is ahead in Harris vs. Trump 2024 presidential polls right now? Our polling average | The current leader in the presidential race, based on an average of national and state polls Stay updated on Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, and RFK Jr's presidential polls, favorabilities, and key Senate and Governor polls. Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. A poll published by the University of New Hampshire shows why, giving Kamala Harris an 11-point lead. Maine also grants an electoral-college vote to the winner of each of its two... There is a 21-in-100 chance that Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College. See a new scenario. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign...

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