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959 LV. Rasmussen Reports/Am... 50.0%. Harris. 47.0%. Trump. +3 Harris. + More Polls. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. This chart shows how the polling margin in Minnesota has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. UPDATED Nov. 3, 2024, at 8:36 AM. Who Is Favored To Win Minnesota's 10 Electoral Votes? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 87... Who’s ahead in the Minnesota ? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Latest Polling in Minnesota. Decision Desk HQ and The Hill are tracking polls leading up to all presidential, Senate, and House primaries and the general election on November 5th, 2024. Read... See how President Joe Biden and Donald Trump compare in the polls leading up to the 2024 presidential election. This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. Biden vs. Trump Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024. According to the MPR|Star Tribune|KARE11 Minnesota Poll, 45% of Minnesotans who are likely to vote in November would vote for President Biden if the election were held today. Forty-one percent say they would vote for former President Trump.

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