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Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to raise funds and... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Vice President Kamala Harris has held her leads nationally and in Michigan, but her leads in Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin have shrunk in the last week. Trump still leads in Arizona, Georgia... Stay updated on Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, and RFK Jr's presidential polls, favorabilities, and key Senate and Governor polls. The latest national results on the general-election matchup of Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump reflect surveys conducted Oct. 29-31, 2024, among 8,918 likely U.S. voters, with an... 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 53 times out of 100 in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.

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