It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president. 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. This is an electoral map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Toss-up (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+). Build your projection using 2024 CNN ratings or past results. Click on each state -- or the state squares under the map -- to assign it to a candidate. Dive into the most comprehensive collection of polls across the nation, forecast the presidency, House, and Senate outcomes, and explore detailed results for every primary and general... Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump. Updated Nov. 3, 2024. Leer en español. See the final Times/Siena polls of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
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