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Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his ... The Silver Bulletin polling averages are a little fancy. They adjust for whether polls are conducted among registered or likely voters and house effects. They weight more reliable polls more heavily. And they use national polls to make inferences about state polls and vice versa. Get caught up on the most important polling for the most consequential races of 2024. Explore up-to-date 2024 presidential general election polls. Gain valuable insights into the evolving political landscape and stay ahead of the latest trends. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national... An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election. National 2024 Presidential Election Polls. Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster. 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. Who is favored to win the 2024 presidential election? Updated 2 days ago. Trump and Harris have about an even chance to win. See the presidential forecast.

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