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Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Published. 10 September 2024. Updated 6 hours ago. Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in... The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to raise funds... Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 53 times out of 100 In Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, the lead has changed hands a few times since the start of August but Trump has a small lead in all of them at the moment. Vice President Kamala Harris has held her leads nationally and in Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, but her lead in Pennsylvania shrank in the past week. Trump still leads in Arizona, Georgia... An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. Who’s leading the polls? National polling average. Harris <1. Aug. Sept. Oct. Election Day. 40% 50% Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the...

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