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The presidential contest in Pennsylvania remains deadlocked just days ahead of the election, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump statistically tied and voters ... Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. Vice President Kamala Harris maintains a narrow advantage in two of the three “blue wall” states that collectively represent her clearest path to an Electoral College victory over former ... Uncertainty will decrease as we get closer to Election Day. We forecast the popular vote only for candidates polling at 5 percent or higher nationally, polling at 10 percent or higher in at least one state or who are on the ballot in almost every state. Since Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s withdrawal, only Harris and Trump meet these criteria, so we ... Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, a trio of USA TODAY/Suffolk University polls found. Harris leads Trump 49%-46% in Pennsylvania, a statewide poll of 500 likely Pennsylvania voters ... Harris lead has shrunk since last week's polls results. 270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 0.9% over Trump while in the Pennsylvania poll Harris has now taken over the lead over ... Keep Up With the 2024 Election. The presidential election is 2 days away. Here’s our guide to the run-up to Election Day. Tracking the Polls. The state of the race, according to the latest ... Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris. The New York Times/Siena College Poll Oct. 24 to Nov. 2 If the 2024 ... Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ...

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