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PredictIt tests your knowledge of political and financial events by letting you make and trade predictions. We’re a university-sponsored project set up to research the potential value of prediction markets in understanding the future. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and... There is a 21-in-100 chance that Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College. See a new scenario. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign... At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in all of the swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s... With just two more days until Election Day, PredictIt now has Kamala Harris in the lead, with a contract that has her winning priced at 54 cents on Sunday, up from 46 cents on Tuesday and 42 cents ... While Democrat Kamala Harris' price on the exchange has surged recently, her projected chances sat at around 46% at Kalshi. Those odds have indeed seen another significant shift in recent days ... The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to raise funds and... Kamala Harris has taken the lead on "most reliable prediction market" PredictIt, while Donald Trump's lead on Polymarket continues to narrow. ... who set fixed odds for various outcomes, the site ...

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