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Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president. By Lenny Bronner. and. Nick Mourtoupalas. November 4, 2024 at 5:00 a.m. EST. A little over a month ago, we looked at the most likely paths that Vice President Kamala Harris and former president ... This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. States are displayed in the order of forecasted margin of victory. Select a scenario to see how it changes the race. Trump carries the Sun Belt. Trump wins Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, flipping... We track polls from across the country and synthesise them to measure the state of the race. Since she took over the Democratic nomination from Joe Biden, Ms Harris’s standing has risen steadily ... Harris' and Trump's odds of winning each state. With nearly three weeks remaining before Nov. 5, Trump's odds of winning the 2024 race are also much better than his two other runs in... At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in all of the swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s very... The gender gap is enormous. The latest national NBC News poll shows Trump winning men by 18 percentage points and Harris carrying women by 16 points — a combined 34-point gender gap, up from 30 ... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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