2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 53 times out of 100. in our simulations... 2024 early and absentee vote. Note: Includes absentee ballots and early in-person votes. When Election Day comes on Nov. 5, millions of voters will have already cast their ballots early, both by ... More than 72 million early votes have been cast this year, 45% of the total in 2020. People wait to cast their votes at Hudson Yards, in New York City, last Saturday. As of Sunday, 2.3 million ... Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. The early votes of new voters — voters who did not show up in 2020 — are of particular interest because they are votes that could change what happens in 2024 relative to the last presidential ... Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
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