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Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and... On Friday, Marist College released their highly-anticipated final polls across the Midwestern states, finding Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3... The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively tied, with the latest set of polls showing Harris leading the three so-called “blue... Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election on November 5. This tracker uses the latest... Vice President Kamala Harris has held her leads nationally and in Michigan, but her leads in Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin have shrunk in the last week. Trump still leads in Arizona,... There are many combinations of states that could put either Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald J. Trump over the threshold of the 270 electoral votes needed to win. Across the seven swing states that are likely to decide the outcome of this election, the polls are so remarkably close that neither candidate has a meaningful edge in this final stretch. Analysis. The swing-state counties hit by Hurricane Helene mostly voted for Trump in 2020. Surveys in the past couple of weeks have moved in Trump’s direction, and the leads Harris had in the... The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is virtually tied, with new polls out Thursday that show the contest in Georgia is even, while...

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