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State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology. The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to raise funds and ... This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ... Vice President Kamala Harris has held her leads nationally and in Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, but her lead in Pennsylvania shrank in the past week. Trump still leads in Arizona, Georgia and ... The presidential race appears to be hurtling toward a photo finish, with the final set of polls by The New York Times and Siena College finding Vice President Kamala Harris showing new strength in ... With just over six weeks until Election Day, the poll finds Harris with a 5-point lead over former President Donald Trump among registered voters, 49% to 44%. While that result is within the ... Where the polls of the 2024 presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump could be off after overestimating Joe Biden in 2020. ... It averages out to an 11-point Harris lead among women ... When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email. Nationwide, Harris now has her smallest lead in our average since the Democratic convention. Most of the major national polls have showed a shift toward Trump since their prior surveys.

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