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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. UPDATED Nov. 3, 2024, at 8:36 AM. Who Is Favored To Win Pennsylvania's 19 Electoral Votes? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 53... Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris. The New York Times/Siena College Poll Oct. 24 to Nov. 2 If the 2024 ... This chart shows how the polling margin in Pennsylvania has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. The presidential contest in Pennsylvania remains deadlocked just days ahead of the election, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump statistically tied and voters ... Marist Poll Pennsylvania Likely Voters. Interviews conducted October 27th through October 30th, 2024, n=1,400 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. Harris receives the support of 50% of Pennsylvania likely voters to 48% for Trump. In September, Harris (49%) and Trump (49%) tied. Marist College, YouGov, Muhlenberg College and The Washington Post found her narrowly up in Pennsylvania. Then there was the Selzer poll showing her leading by three points in Iowa. Trump is up 50%-49% in a two-way Fox News poll of likely Pennsylvania voters out Wednesday—well within the three-point margin of error—and he has a 47%-46% lead in a Quinnipiac poll of likely ... Biden vs. Trump Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.

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