The latest NBC News national poll shows Harris leading Trump 49%-44%, within the margin of error, while Trump holds advantages on the economy, inflation and the border. Trump could win if the polls are underestimating him even slightly. In 2016 and 2020, he outperformed the polls in the swing states, and he could do it again. Here’s one possibility. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency We track polls from across the country and synthesise them to measure the state of the race. Since she took over the Democratic nomination from Joe Biden, Ms Harris’s standing has risen steadily. A Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll that came out late on Saturday showed Harris leading Trump in the state by 47 per cent to 44 per cent just days before the election. Iowa, which holds the ... When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024... Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively tied, with the latest set of polls showing Harris leading the three so-called “blue... Now, Trump has taken over the lead in an average of the polls in the seven swing states for the first time since Harris got in the race. Analysis. The swing-state counties hit by Hurricane...
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