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How the electoral map has changed since 2020 03:17. Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are heading into Election Day with razor-thin margins separating them in the ... Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. Trump wins Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, flipping all three states from 2020. Harris carries the Rust Belt. Harris wins Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, matching Biden’s 2020 outcome in those states. Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 7 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 2 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 38 out of 100. Trump wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 50 out of 100. Harris wins the national popular vote. This map tracks a Harris-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. No polling is available yet in some less competitive states. In those cases, the Consensus Forecast rating is used. The map automatically updates three times daily. States where the margin is 4% or less are shown as Toss-up. Updated results from the 2024 election for the US president. Reuters live coverage of the 2024 US President, Senate, House and state governors races. ... Trump. 0 votes . 270 electoral votes to ... Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... Finish the 2024 map and explore Trump and Harris' paths to 270 electoral votes. Road to 270 ... It will take at least 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click or tap a ... Results on the 2016 and 2020 maps have been allocated using current Electoral College votes. Certain states gained or lost electoral votes following the 2020 decennial census. Election news

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