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Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president. According to Real Clear Polling, Trump now enjoys a 53.6% lead over Harris (45.1%) across betting odds. Trump has held the lead since the start of October, and just last week held a double-digit ... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and... Election prediction market favors Trump with 2/3 odds despite toss-up polls Political prognosticators legally bet over $100 million on the 2024 presidential election, favoring Harris over Trump. On Friday, Marist College released their highly-anticipated final polls across the Midwestern states, finding Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points in... National: Trump vs. Harris. NBC News. Trump 44, Harris 49. Harris +5. « Previous 1 2 3 Next ». Latest 2024 National Presidential Election Polls. The case for a Trump victory is supported by the anti-Trump bias in the polls in 2016 and 2020, which, on average in the 2024 swing states, showed a 1.9-point and 1.1-point bias against him, respectively. Harris’ betting market-implied odds of victory stood at 42.4% Friday afternoon, hitting the highest level since last Thursday, with Trump inversely at an eight-day low of 57.2%, according to the ... This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.

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