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Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign ... 68 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote. 32 out of 100. Harris wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 3 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. 1 out of 100. Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College. 21 out of 100. Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has a marginal lead over Republican former President Donald Trump among U.S. registered voters nationally, Reuters/Ipsos polls show, and the race remains ... This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ... Republican Party. 46.8 47.7 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last weeks. Early voting has begun in most states, including key battlegrounds like Arizona and Georgia. The two major ... On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his campaign. State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology. The polls could underestimate Harris’s or Trump’s support A polling average is the best way to understand the state of play in a presidential race, but as we know from previous presidential ...

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