Examining Donald Trump's odds to win the 2024 US Presidential Election in November against Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. The 2024 US Presidential Election odds have cut Donald Trump's lead from a -225 favorite yesterday to -200. Kamala Harris is now at +162 from +175 just 24 hours ago. The change could be due to Harris's lead in key swing states of Michigan and Wisconsin where the Democratic candidate jumped to a 1.1 and 0.7 point lead respectively. The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to raise funds and... USA TODAY. Offshore betting markets still think former President Donald Trump has a significantly higher probability of winning the 2024 presidential election than Vice President Kamala... 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president.
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