The odds of winning and of outcome are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations, using vote projections per riding, past results, and various demographic data as the main variables. General elections allow for the election of a Member of the National Assembly (MNA) in each of Québec's 125 electoral divisions. Elected officials represent voters in the National Assembly. The election period lasts between 33 and 39 days. Quebec, 78 federal districts 44 [35-49] 21 [16-29] 11 [8-15] 2 [1-4] 338Canada seat projection | November 3, 2024. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The Liberals are at 27 seats (down eight from the last election) while the Conservatives are at 14 (up four), according to the projection. The NDP is stuck at one, unchanged from 2021. The 44th Quebec general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 5, 2026, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec. Official voting results report (in French) Statistics on candidates Understanding the reporting of election results. The Charter of the French language and its regulations govern the consultation of English-language content. You can customize your settings below. They will be saved for one year. Elections Québec communicates results, statistics and voter turnout of recent elections. We only present the results of elections held since November 2021 that were forwarded to us by the municipalities. If any results are missing, please contact your municipality. The ranges show how many seats each party could potentially win, based on how close individual ridings are projected to be and past discrepancies between polls/projections and actual results. A... The Bloc Québécois won the Montreal Liberal stronghold riding of LaSalle-Émard-Verdun after an extremely tight three-way race with the NDP. Alyssia Rubertucci reports.
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