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Who’s ahead in North Carolina? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Sept. 1, 2024 Oct. 1 Nov. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Trump 48.5% Harris 47.0% Nov. 2, 2024 leader Nov. 2, 2024 leader Trump Trump +1.6. KEY. ESTIMATE. 2012. 48.5%. 50.5%. Vote Margin by State in the 2020 Presidential Election. In 2020, North Carolina voted for Donald Trump by a 1.3-point margin. This was the smallest margin for Trump among the ... Our Polls Policy And FAQs. Download the data. Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions. Contact. North Carolina State Board of Elections (NCSBE) P.O. Box 27255. Raleigh, NC 27611-7255. Email: elections.sboe@ncsbe.gov. Phone: (919) 814-0700. Fax: (919) 715-0135. Follow Us. Decision Desk HQ and The Hill are tracking polls leading up to all presidential, Senate, and House primaries and the general election on November 5th, 2024. Read our polling average methodology here. Below are the latest polls in North Carolina, but you can also navigate to other states and topics using the drop-downs above. Nov. 3. 48% Harris Harris. 48% Trump Trump. About this data. Note: Individual poll results are shown as circles for each candidate. Polls with greater weight in the average have larger circles ... Trump is up 50% to 47% in a Washington Post-Schar School poll released last week, still within the 3.9-point margin of error, while a Quinnipiac poll of likely voters released Oct. 16 found Harris ... †The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. Neither Kamala Harris nor Donald Trump has established a clear advantage in the presidential race in Georgia and North Carolina, a new CNN/SSRS poll finds.

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