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Line chart showing voting intention in national polls between Harris and Trump since the Trump-Biden debate on June 27. Kamala Harris 48.8 Donald Trump 47.4. Source: FT research, FiveThirtyEight • Latest poll Oct 29. In US Presidential elections, national polls are merely indicators, because the overall winner is decided using the electoral ... by Tara Suter - 10/23/24 10:34 AM ET. Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump by 2 percentage points in a new national poll. The poll, from the University of Massachusetts Amherst ... On the eve of the 2024 presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris has the support of 51 percent of likely voters to former President Donald Trump’s 47 percent – a lead just outside ... When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email. Republican Party. 46.8 47.7 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last weeks. Early voting has begun in most states, including key battlegrounds like Arizona and Georgia. The two major ... 45.0%. Harris. +6 Trump. + More Polls. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average ... Election Day. 40%. 50%. Nov. 3. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. While the overall result of our final Times/Siena polls is largely unchanged since our ... According to a separate Morning Consult poll, one-half (50 percent) of voters now have a positive view of Harris, a 7-point improvement from two weeks ago, before her campaign had begun in earnest ... Stay updated on Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, and RFK Jr's presidential polls, favorabilities, and key Senate and Governor polls. Sponsored content Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

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